UPDATE: Very unlikely for Jax… See Below… UARS, heading back to Earth might be seen here in Jax…

September 23, 2011

 

UPDATE (10:00PM EDT):  UARS still BARELY hanging in there…  Only if UARS is able to remain aloft to the very latest forecast orbit (3:00 am EDT) would there be any possibility of Jax seeing it…  It would come in from the Northwest, over the Northeastern US.  Much more likely, UARS will splash crash somewhere over the Pacific.

To see LIVE where the Upper Atmosphere Research Satellite is, go here…

http://spaceflightnow.com/uars/status.html

Recent estimates suggest that the FIREY return will be sometime around 11pm (+/- 3hrs) and if it happened around 11pm it would be over the Pacific Ocean (west of Chile) and it would NOT be seen in Jax.

But!

If it happens a little earlier, either on a pass around 7:15pm OR 8:50pm we could see it, if it happens exactly then…

Here’s the track to watch…

BTW, the odds of everything working out such that we will get a glimpse of this is only about 15%…


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