Technical Difficulties no longer!
2008 HURRICANE SEASON FORECAST
7 HURRICANES, 3 MAJOR HURRICANES, 1 LIKELY TO HIT U.S.
Too much hype? No… This forecast is so poorly understood by the public. The way to understand this forecast, is not to think that because they are forecasting another busy year, that we are going to be hit…
Rather, if they are expecting a busy season with intense hurricanes, that my chances of being hit are greater than a “normal” year.
Also, that NO TWO SEASONS ARE ALIKE…
In my mind 2007 was one of the LUCKY YEARS. As correctly forecasted, it was a busy year, with two of the most intense hurricanes of all-time (most people overlook this detail) BOTH of which hit land as category 5 hurricanes. This was the first time that two category 5 hurricanes hit landfall in the same year, EVER!
But, did they hit Florida? No… So, to most people it seemed like a nothing season.
Nothing could be further from the truth. We were just LUCKY.
1992 WAS AN UNLUCKY YEAR
A completely opposite year was 1992, when the seasonal forecast were for a weak year (and it was) with only a couple of hurricanes, one being a major hurricane.
We only had one major hurricane… It hit Florida, as a category 5 hurricane. That was hurricane Andrew, which cost the state $26Billion.
Technical Difficulties fixed, we’ll be back real soon!
JG
December 18, 2007 at 6:13 pm |
Hi John,
I like your reports as I think you attempt to put perspective on the weather.
When the rain total is given for the year, we are told whether it is above or below average and by what amount. My question is there any research on how much rain we need each year to maintain safe and adequate water levels?
Thanks!
George Cook
Jacksonville, FL