HURRICANE IDA continues to intensify this afternoon and I suspect that when hurricane hunters find Ida around 1pm we will find a Category 2 Hurricane, with the central pressure around 975mb and winds near 100mph.
UPDATE: Hurricane Hunters did find Ida with the above strength…
This will mark the peak intensity of Ida, Ida will now slowly increase in size, but weaken in terms of maximum winds.
WATER TEMPS barely support tropical storm intensity after tomorrow morning, see image below. This represents the amount of available Heat Energy. Yes, Tropical Cyclones can exist and even intensify with low Heat Content, rarely do the hold maximum winds greater than 75mph.
Earlier this year Hurricane Grace, near Ireland showed we can indeed have hurricanes over cool waters, but her winds may have never been higher than 60mph.
After she moves into the Central Gulf, this will be the case with Ida.
IMPACT ON JACKSONVILLE – Think Nor’easter
Except we will be on the Warm, Moist, not necessarily wet side of the storm. Rains will be “around” starting on Tuesday. Highest chance of rain will be west and north of Jacksonville. This includes Waycross to Live Oak. Maximum rain amounts, I suspect, will be under 2″.
JUST GOT BACK FROM BALTIMORE, I know the Jags are in town, but I am going to watch the Blue Angels this afternoon.
I will update IDA tomorrow morning.
JG
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Posted by gaughanbloggin 
Posted by gaughanbloggin 













